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The Ellen Payne Odom Genealogy Library Family Tree
The Family Tree - October/November 2004
Probability Analysis and the Ancestral Place of Origin

Mr. James Hennessy, accredited genealogist, Irish Research, 145 W. 200 N. #22, Salt Lake City, UT 84103, USA has given us permission to reprint his article.  It originally appeared in the National Genealogical Society Quarterly, Vol 79, No 4, Dec 1991.  He updated the Notes and References on the last page.  His phone number is 801-322-1204; email is

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